i think this one shows if president obama takes ohio. >> we do. let me show you what happens when we give him ohio, watch the number change, and watch how close he gets to 220. gets him to 261 here. and now that means what? there's about four different scenarios, let me clean the map up here. four different scenarios now, savannah, that gets him to 270, but let's give romney the benefit of the doubt and assume that in the order of the other remaining eight states, florida, north carolina, wisconsin, although who knows now with packer fans how they will feel and whether they even show up to vote. >> had to get the football in. >> colorado, upset this them. you get him to 264 and leads up, and people kept asking me, what is this year's florida? what is this year's ohio? when you go through any scenario, i get -- i come to the state of virginia. virginia in 2008 was the state that most closely matched the national number. it is the state that is sort of right there on the edge. the president has a little bit of a lead but it seems to match where he i